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The First-Half Betting System – Part One
One thing I try as much to avoid – except of course its a really good value bet – is staking on the 1 x 2 face value of a match. This is of course the most popular. People stake on Home team to win, draw or away win. The more common and most definitely absurd one is seeing someone accumulate 18 matches of home wins, draws and away wins expecting to win millions. You could as well just give the bookies your money directly instead of betting. I mean, common, the odds are stacked up against you for one match let alone 18!!! I have seen quite a few peeps get pretty darn lucky with bets like this and scoop in some real good cash. But it rarely happens. You are most likely bound to lose. A friend of mine of recent told me how he had been accumulating 12 matches with a stake of N1000 every friday and saturday for the past one year without success. I’m hardly surprised.
Well for me, I dig deeper. The bookies are always at an advantage. What a Pro Punter aims for is to reduce that advantage as much as possible and create and almost equal playing ground for him and the bookie. He aims to do this combining so much statistical data and information to enable him make a much more informed decision.
Today I want to share with you guys the first part of the series. The First-Half Betting System.
I will cover the over 0.5 goals in first-half technique in this part.
What does the Over 0.5 goals in First-Half mean?
Simple. It just requires that any of the two teams playing score just one goal in the first half. It doesn’t matter who scores the goal. Home or Away. So as long as the first half does not end without goals you win.
Digging Deeper – How this Technique works.
Its really simple and basic system, really.
Spotting the fixtures or matches to use this system on is easy also.
I will divide it into two categories.
- The 1.7 or 1.75 Odds Fixture.
- Any other Odds Fixture.
Let’s treat the first one.
P.S This system works better on the major leagues. EPL, La Liga, Seria A, French league, Bundesliga. It also works on the England Championship, League one, League two e.t.c
The 1.7 or 1.75 Odds Fixture
Take a look at the screen-shot from Merrybet below:
As you can see, The macth between Manchester United and Southampton as the Home team with Odds of 1.75.
So If you spot the Home or Away team with odds of 1.7 or 1.75, it means the fixture just passed through stage one of the system. More often than not, the odds for over 0.5 goals in first half on this type of fixtures are usually 1.4. That’s a pretty high odd for just one goal in first half.
Head over to this betradar statistics website.
I will use the Manchester United match above as an example for the graphical tutorial below. You can follow the same steps in spotting your own matches.
I will click on Soccer > Europe > England > Premier League.
I will then look under fixtures and find the match.
After clicking, I see a page and scroll down to this:
Choose the over/under 1st half option. Then click on the 0.5 tab.
As you can see from the box highlighted in the screenshot above, ManUtd have gone 70% over 0.5 goals in first-half this season. That is a pass mark. Southampton on the other hand have gone for 65% of their matches. That is a pass mark too. The reason I used this match as an example is because if you add up the %(percentage) together 70% + 65% = 135%. This is the lowest that this technique can permit! So if southampton had been 64% or ManUtd had been 69%. We would have simply ignored the macth as it does not fit into the system.
So the rule is that the % of the two teams when added together must be at least 135%.
P.S To be on the safer side, Always try to get higher %’s. Sometimes I could get a match with like 160% and the odds for Over 0.5 goal in first half is 1.5!!!
Any other Odds Fixture.
So I hope you understood the steps involved with this system when the odds are 1.7 or 1.75.
Now let’s take a look at the steps to follow if the odds are otherwise.
The only difference in the steps is you look out for a extra condition.
So let’s say for ManUtd vs Southampton, the odds are 1.6 3.8 4.75.
Now what you would look out for is the over 2.5 goal odds.
If the Odds for Over 2.5 goals is 1.7 or below, Then the match qualifies. If the odd is above 1.7. Discard the match.
So if the odds for Over 2.5 goals was 1.6. I would then head over to betradar statistics website and follow the exact same steps as outlined in the 1.7 or 1.75 odds fixture.
Well, this is an issue to most punters. They have a system but do not know how to implement it. They don’t know whether to stake singles, or accumulate. They do not know what staking methods to use. Well, that’s a whole broad and extensive topic for some other day.
This is one of the commandments a pro-punter follows. When using a particular system you have to stick to it and not make decisions based on your emotions. If you test and find this system effective enough, then follow the rules. Stick to it. Don’t assume. Use the statistics and techniques outlined.
Now i have explained and covered the part one of the series. First-Half Betting System.
Let me know what you think about this. Do you have any ideas, suggestions? Drop it below in the comments section, lets talk about it.
Don’t forget to share this post to other punters too. Let us hear what they think too.